Jun. 13th, 2017

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К встрече Си Цзиньпина и Трампа Аллисон написал очередной текст про "ловушку Фукидида": What Trump And Xi Can Learn From The Athens Vs. Sparta Rivalry
Оттуда и картинка.

Воля ваша, но Not war применительно к случаям 15 и 16 - очевидная натяжка, да и по 11 есть вопросы.

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"... The unattractiveness of both acceptance and intervention is what keeps bringing policymakers back to the third option, trying to cap and reverse the North Korean nuclear threat through negotiations. But as decades of failed efforts have proved, diplomacy is no panacea. So the challenge on this front is not just getting back to the table but also figuring out how to make rapid progress once there. This could be done by breaking the issue’s resolution into two stages, with an interim deal that would freeze Pyongyang’s nuclear and missile programs, followed by longer-term efforts to reduce and eliminate the programs entirely.
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Ричард Хаас начинает торговаться с северокорейцами.
Понятно, что предлагает мало, а требует много.
Но процесс набирает, несмотря даже на высказываемые Хаасом опасения относительно позиции Японии и РК.


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